FiveThirtyEight has a great analysis of current political play in House and Senate midterm races. Nate Silver has outlined what the Democrats need in terms of numbers to feel that the midterms are successful for them and, yes, a loss for the Democrats doesn't necessarily mean the loss of their majorities in either Congressional body. Democrats could still maintain majorities, but have the ideological bent of the chambers as a whole changed in such a way that their ability to govern is compromised. (And, of course, by "compromised," I mean more than by Democrats simply being Democrats!) It is a good read and really spells out how progressives must stem the "enthusiasm gap" before it is too late.
7 April 2010
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